Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#96
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#91
Pace69.7#118
Improvement+0.0#172

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#68
First Shot+4.4#57
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks+0.8#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows+3.2#20
Improvement+1.4#100

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#150
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks+1.2#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#40
Freethrows-1.8#285
Improvement-1.4#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2016 93   @ College of Charleston L 47-60 40%     0 - 1 -5.6 -12.4 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2016 86   Mississippi St. L 68-80 46%     0 - 2 -6.4 -1.2 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2016 160   Western Michigan W 91-70 67%     1 - 2 +21.3 +7.6 +11.6
  Nov 25, 2016 350   Presbyterian W 82-56 99%     2 - 2 +3.6 +9.2 -2.6
  Nov 28, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 63-68 8%     2 - 3 +15.2 +4.8 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2016 13   SMU W 71-62 16%     3 - 3 +24.2 +9.0 +15.9
  Dec 03, 2016 154   @ Evansville L 67-72 56%     3 - 4 -1.9 -4.1 +2.3
  Dec 05, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 80-79 59%     4 - 4 +3.4 +6.5 -3.1
  Dec 18, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 82-59 96%     5 - 4 +7.5 +8.0 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2016 280   Cal St. Northridge W 79-62 91%     6 - 4 +6.9 -0.6 +7.8
  Dec 28, 2016 121   @ Utah St. W 83-80 49%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +7.9 +9.8 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2016 82   Colorado St. W 74-73 55%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +4.5 +5.7 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 77-59 74%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +16.1 +8.5 +8.2
  Jan 07, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 78-66 54%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +15.7 +17.2 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. L 80-89 41%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -1.9 +3.5 -4.6
  Jan 17, 2017 118   New Mexico L 70-81 67%     10 - 6 4 - 2 -10.9 -2.4 -8.6
  Jan 21, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. W 75-65 69%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +9.7 +3.4 +6.3
  Jan 25, 2017 54   Nevada L 57-76 40%     11 - 7 5 - 3 -11.8 -11.9 -0.7
  Jan 28, 2017 140   @ Wyoming W 80-65 53%     12 - 7 6 - 3 +18.9 +10.3 +8.5
  Jan 31, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. W 79-76 35%     13 - 7 7 - 3 +11.6 +17.8 -5.9
  Feb 04, 2017 121   Utah St. W 72-70 68%     14 - 7 8 - 3 +1.8 +4.2 -2.2
  Feb 11, 2017 215   Air Force W 76-66 84%     15 - 7 9 - 3 +4.0 +4.5 +0.3
  Feb 14, 2017 118   @ New Mexico L 73-78 48%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +0.2 -1.1 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2017 140   Wyoming W 91-87 72%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +2.8 +6.9 -4.6
  Feb 22, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 77-85 23%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +4.3 +8.5 -4.3
  Feb 25, 2017 206   San Jose St. W 85-78 83%     17 - 9 11 - 5 +1.6 +6.8 -5.5
  Feb 28, 2017 98   Fresno St. L 67-74 60%     17 - 10 11 - 6 -5.0 +0.1 -5.6
  Mar 04, 2017 215   @ Air Force W 98-70 71%     18 - 10 12 - 6 +27.0 +23.1 +4.0
  Mar 09, 2017 80   San Diego St. L 68-87 44%     18 - 11 -12.8 +10.3 -25.4
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%